Hamburger SV
W
W
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.41 - 2.05
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
L
W
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.21% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Germany Bundesliga
TBA
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Hamburger SV scored an average of 0.89 goals per match, compared to Bayer Leverkusen 1.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Hamburger SV scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.33 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.41 for Hamburger SV and 2.05 for Bayer Leverkusen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.21%.

H2H - Hamburger SV vs. Bayer Leverkusen

08-05-2027
Bayer Leverkusen
-
(HT -)
Hamburger SV
10-01-2027
Hamburger SV
-
(HT -)
Bayer Leverkusen
16-05-2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Hamburger SV
04-03-2026
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
17-02-2018
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
24-09-2017
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Hamburger SV
03-02-2017
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
10-09-2016
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Hamburger SV
13-03-2016
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Hamburger SV
17-10-2015
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
04-04-2015
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Hamburger SV
01-11-2014
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
04-04-2014
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
09-11-2013
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Hamburger SV
18-05-2013
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
15-12-2012
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Hamburger SV
08-04-2012
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
05-11-2011
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Hamburger SV
07-05-2011
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Hamburger SV
11-12-2010
Hamburger SV
2 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Hamburger SV

10.10 @ 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3
W
17.10 vs VfB Stuttgart 1-0
W
24.10 @ SC Paderborn 07 1-0
L
27.10 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3
L
01.11 @ Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
L
06.11 vs Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1
W

Away Crest Bayer Leverkusen

18.10 vs SC Freiburg 2-1
W
22.10 @ OFI 0-2
W
25.10 @ 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0
L
28.10 vs FC Nurnberg 5-2
W
31.10 vs VfB Stuttgart 2-4
L
05.11 vs Marseille 0-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.