Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens FC
L L W L L W
5 - 0
xG 2.40 - 0.51
Panetolikos
L L L L L L

Mathematical Predictions: AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.66% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

AEK Athens FC team crest AEK Athens FC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AEK Athens FC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Levadiakos 1 O2.5 2-1
04 Nov 26 vs Real Madrid 1 O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Panathinaikos 1 O2.5 2-0
24 Oct 26 vs Panetolikos 1 O2.5 5-0
20 Oct 26 @ Manchester City X O2.5 5-1

Panetolikos team crest Panetolikos Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Panetolikos
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Aris Thessalonikis 1 O2.5 3-0
01 Nov 26 vs OFI 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ AEK Athens FC 1 O2.5 5-0
18 Oct 26 vs Olympiakos Piraeus 2 U2.5 0-2
11 Oct 26 @ Kifisia X U2.5 2-0

AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Allwyn Arena
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, AEK Athens FC scored an average of 2.45 goals per match, compared to Panetolikos 0.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, AEK Athens FC scored an average of 3.50 and conceded 0.00, whereas Panetolikos scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.40 for AEK Athens FC and 0.51 for Panetolikos. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.66%.

H2H - AEK Athens FC vs. Panetolikos

24 Oct 26
AEK Athens FC
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Panetolikos
14 Dec 25
Panetolikos
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
AEK Athens FC
02 Nov 25
AEK Athens FC
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Panetolikos
25 Jan 25
AEK Athens FC
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Panetolikos
05 Oct 24
Panetolikos
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
AEK Athens FC
18 Dec 23
Panetolikos
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
AEK Athens FC
08 Oct 23
AEK Athens FC
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Panetolikos
15 Jan 23
AEK Athens FC
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Panetolikos

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest AEK Athens FC

14 Oct @ Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1
L
20 Oct @ Manchester City 5-1
L
24 Oct vs Panetolikos 5-0
W
01 Nov @ Panathinaikos 2-0
L
04 Nov vs Real Madrid 2-3
L
08 Nov vs Levadiakos 2-1
W

Away Crest Panetolikos

20 Sep vs PAOK 1-3
L
11 Oct @ Kifisia 2-0
L
18 Oct vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2
L
24 Oct @ AEK Athens FC 5-0
L
01 Nov vs OFI 0-1
L
07 Nov @ Aris Thessalonikis 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.