Italy Serie A
Unipol Domus
Cagliari
D L L L L W
VS
xG 0.80 - 1.99
AC Milan
L W L W L W

Mathematical Predictions: Cagliari vs AC Milan

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.74% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Cagliari team crest Cagliari Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Cagliari
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Frosinone X O2.5 1-0
01 Nov 26 @ Lazio 1 O2.5 2-1
27 Oct 26 @ AS Roma 1 O2.5 4-2
24 Oct 26 vs Bologna X U2.5 0-2
19 Oct 26 @ Monza 2 O2.5 4-0

AC Milan team crest AC Milan Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AC Milan
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Genoa X U2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 vs Ferencvarosi TC X O2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 vs Inter 2 O2.5 3-1
28 Oct 26 vs Bologna X U2.5 2-4
25 Oct 26 @ Udinese 2 U2.5 0-2

Cagliari vs AC Milan

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Italy Serie A
Unipol Domus
In their previous 29 head-to-head matches, Cagliari scored an average of 0.72 goals per match, compared to AC Milan 2.14 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Cagliari scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 0.83, whereas AC Milan scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Cagliari vs AC Milan match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.80 for Cagliari and 1.99 for AC Milan. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.74%.

H2H - Cagliari vs. AC Milan

30 Nov 26
Cagliari
-
(HT -)
AC Milan
24 May 26
AC Milan
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Cagliari
02 Jan 26
Cagliari
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
AC Milan
11 Jan 25
AC Milan
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Cagliari
09 Nov 24
Cagliari
3 - 3
(HT 1-2)
AC Milan
11 May 24
AC Milan
5 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Cagliari
02 Jan 24
AC Milan
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Cagliari
27 Sep 23
Cagliari
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
AC Milan

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Cagliari

11 Oct vs Juventus 1-1
D
19 Oct @ Monza 4-0
L
24 Oct vs Bologna 0-2
L
27 Oct @ AS Roma 4-2
L
01 Nov @ Lazio 2-1
L
07 Nov vs Frosinone 1-0
W

Away Crest AC Milan

22 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
25 Oct @ Udinese 0-2
W
28 Oct vs Bologna 2-4
L
31 Oct vs Inter 3-1
W
05 Nov vs Ferencvarosi TC 0-2
L
08 Nov @ Genoa 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.