Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
L W L L L D
VS
xG 1.00 - 1.86
Atalanta
L D D L D W

Mathematical Predictions: Lecce vs Atalanta

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.50% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Lecce team crest Lecce Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lecce
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Torino X U2.5 1-1
01 Nov 26 vs Genoa 1 O2.5 1-2
29 Oct 26 @ Frosinone X U2.5 5-1
25 Oct 26 vs Juventus 2 O2.5 0-2
18 Oct 26 @ Udinese X U2.5 0-3

Atalanta team crest Atalanta Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atalanta
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Monza X O2.5 0-1
05 Nov 26 vs Kairat Almaty 1 O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Parma 1 O2.5 0-3
29 Oct 26 @ Fiorentina 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 vs Frosinone 1 U2.5 4-4

Lecce vs Atalanta

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadio Via del Mare
In their previous 12 head-to-head matches, Lecce scored an average of 0.83 goals per match, compared to Atalanta 2.42 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lecce scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 2.00, whereas Atalanta scored 1.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lecce vs Atalanta match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Lecce and 1.86 for Atalanta. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.50%.

H2H - Lecce vs. Atalanta

30 Nov 26
Lecce
-
(HT -)
Atalanta
06 Apr 26
Lecce
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Atalanta
14 Sep 25
Atalanta
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lecce
27 Apr 25
Atalanta
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Lecce
19 Aug 24
Lecce
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Atalanta
18 May 24
Lecce
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Atalanta
30 Dec 23
Atalanta
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lecce
19 Feb 23
Atalanta
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Lecce

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lecce

11 Oct vs Bologna 1-2
L
18 Oct @ Udinese 0-3
W
25 Oct vs Juventus 0-2
L
29 Oct @ Frosinone 5-1
L
01 Nov vs Genoa 1-2
L
07 Nov @ Torino 1-1
D

Away Crest Atalanta

22 Oct @ Ajax 2-0
L
25 Oct vs Frosinone 4-4
D
29 Oct @ Fiorentina 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Parma 0-3
L
05 Nov vs Kairat Almaty 1-1
D
08 Nov @ Monza 0-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.