Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli
W D W L L D
VS
xG 1.79 - 1.04
Lecce
L W L L L D

Mathematical Predictions: Napoli vs Lecce

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.71% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Napoli team crest Napoli Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Napoli
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Lazio X O2.5 1-1
04 Nov 26 @ FC Porto 1 O2.5 4-1
01 Nov 26 @ Juventus 1 O2.5 2-0
28 Oct 26 @ Monza X O2.5 1-4
24 Oct 26 vs AS Roma 1 O2.5 3-3

Lecce team crest Lecce Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lecce
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Torino X U2.5 1-1
01 Nov 26 vs Genoa 1 O2.5 1-2
29 Oct 26 @ Frosinone X U2.5 5-1
25 Oct 26 vs Juventus 2 O2.5 0-2
18 Oct 26 @ Udinese X U2.5 0-3

Napoli vs Lecce

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Napoli scored an average of 1.86 goals per match, compared to Lecce 0.79 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Napoli scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.00, whereas Lecce scored 1.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Napoli vs Lecce match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.79 for Napoli and 1.04 for Lecce. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.71%.

H2H - Napoli vs. Lecce

05 Dec 26
Napoli
-
(HT -)
Lecce
14 Mar 26
Napoli
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Lecce
28 Oct 25
Lecce
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Napoli
03 May 25
Lecce
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Napoli
26 Oct 24
Napoli
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lecce
26 May 24
Napoli
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lecce
30 Sep 23
Lecce
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Napoli
07 Apr 23
Lecce
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Napoli

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Napoli

20 Oct vs Bodo/Glimt 4-3
W
24 Oct vs AS Roma 3-3
D
28 Oct @ Monza 1-4
W
01 Nov @ Juventus 2-0
L
04 Nov @ FC Porto 4-1
L
08 Nov vs Lazio 1-1
D

Away Crest Lecce

11 Oct vs Bologna 1-2
L
18 Oct @ Udinese 0-3
W
25 Oct vs Juventus 0-2
L
29 Oct @ Frosinone 5-1
L
01 Nov vs Genoa 1-2
L
07 Nov @ Torino 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.