Italy Serie A
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
L L L D W D
VS
xG 1.49 - 1.00
Cagliari
D L L L L W

Mathematical Predictions: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fiorentina team crest Fiorentina Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fiorentina
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Juventus 2 O2.5 2-2
02 Nov 26 @ Sassuolo X O2.5 2-4
29 Oct 26 vs Atalanta 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 @ Inter X O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Como X O2.5 1-3

Cagliari team crest Cagliari Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Cagliari
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Frosinone X O2.5 1-0
01 Nov 26 @ Lazio 1 O2.5 2-1
27 Oct 26 @ AS Roma 1 O2.5 4-2
24 Oct 26 vs Bologna X U2.5 0-2
19 Oct 26 @ Monza 2 O2.5 4-0

Fiorentina vs Cagliari

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Italy Serie A
Stadio Artemio Franchi
In their previous 28 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina scored an average of 1.46 goals per match, compared to Cagliari 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fiorentina scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 2.17, whereas Cagliari scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fiorentina vs Cagliari match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.49 for Fiorentina and 1.00 for Cagliari. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.72%.

H2H - Fiorentina vs. Cagliari

07 Dec 26
Fiorentina
-
(HT -)
Cagliari
24 Jan 26
Fiorentina
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Cagliari
24 Aug 25
Cagliari
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fiorentina
23 Apr 25
Cagliari
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Fiorentina
08 Dec 24
Fiorentina
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Cagliari
23 May 24
Cagliari
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Fiorentina
02 Oct 23
Fiorentina
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Cagliari
23 Jan 22
Cagliari
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fiorentina

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fiorentina

10 Oct @ Genoa 2-1
L
18 Oct vs Como 1-3
L
25 Oct @ Inter 2-1
L
29 Oct vs Atalanta 2-2
D
02 Nov @ Sassuolo 2-4
W
08 Nov vs Juventus 2-2
D

Away Crest Cagliari

11 Oct vs Juventus 1-1
D
19 Oct @ Monza 4-0
L
24 Oct vs Bologna 0-2
L
27 Oct @ AS Roma 4-2
L
01 Nov @ Lazio 2-1
L
07 Nov vs Frosinone 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.