Italy Serie A
New Balance Arena
Atalanta
L D D L D W
VS
xG 1.90 - 0.97
Genoa
W L W W W L

Mathematical Predictions: Atalanta vs Genoa

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.60% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Atalanta team crest Atalanta Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atalanta
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Monza X O2.5 0-1
05 Nov 26 vs Kairat Almaty 1 O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Parma 1 O2.5 0-3
29 Oct 26 @ Fiorentina 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 vs Frosinone 1 U2.5 4-4

Genoa team crest Genoa Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Genoa
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs AC Milan X U2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Lecce 1 O2.5 1-2
28 Oct 26 vs Juventus 2 U2.5 2-0
25 Oct 26 vs Venezia 1 O2.5 1-0
17 Oct 26 @ AS Roma 1 O2.5 2-0

Atalanta vs Genoa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Italy Serie A
New Balance Arena
In their previous 29 head-to-head matches, Atalanta scored an average of 1.86 goals per match, compared to Genoa 1.07 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atalanta scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.83, whereas Genoa scored 0.50 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atalanta vs Genoa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.90 for Atalanta and 0.97 for Genoa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.60%.

H2H - Atalanta vs. Genoa

14 Dec 26
Atalanta
-
(HT -)
Genoa
02 May 26
Atalanta
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Genoa
21 Dec 25
Genoa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Atalanta
03 Dec 25
Atalanta
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Genoa
17 May 25
Genoa
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Atalanta
05 Oct 24
Atalanta
5 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Genoa
11 Feb 24
Genoa
1 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Atalanta
22 Oct 23
Atalanta
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Genoa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atalanta

22 Oct @ Ajax 2-0
L
25 Oct vs Frosinone 4-4
D
29 Oct @ Fiorentina 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Parma 0-3
L
05 Nov vs Kairat Almaty 1-1
D
08 Nov @ Monza 0-1
W

Away Crest Genoa

10 Oct vs Fiorentina 2-1
W
17 Oct @ AS Roma 2-0
L
25 Oct vs Venezia 1-0
W
28 Oct vs Juventus 2-0
W
01 Nov @ Lecce 1-2
W
08 Nov vs AC Milan 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.