Italy Serie A
TBA
AC Milan
L W L W L W
VS
xG 1.97 - 1.68
Fiorentina
L L L D W D

Mathematical Predictions: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 70.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

AC Milan team crest AC Milan Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AC Milan
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Genoa X U2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 vs Ferencvarosi TC X O2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 vs Inter 2 O2.5 3-1
28 Oct 26 vs Bologna X U2.5 2-4
25 Oct 26 @ Udinese 2 U2.5 0-2

Fiorentina team crest Fiorentina Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fiorentina
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Juventus 2 O2.5 2-2
02 Nov 26 @ Sassuolo X O2.5 2-4
29 Oct 26 vs Atalanta 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 @ Inter X O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Como X O2.5 1-3

AC Milan vs Fiorentina

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Italy Serie A
TBA
In their previous 32 head-to-head matches, AC Milan scored an average of 1.41 goals per match, compared to Fiorentina 1.22 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, AC Milan scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.50, whereas Fiorentina scored 2.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in AC Milan vs Fiorentina match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.97 for AC Milan and 1.68 for Fiorentina. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.68%.

H2H - AC Milan vs. Fiorentina

05 Jan 27
AC Milan
-
(HT -)
Fiorentina
11 Jan 26
Fiorentina
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
AC Milan
19 Oct 25
AC Milan
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fiorentina
05 Apr 25
AC Milan
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Fiorentina
06 Oct 24
Fiorentina
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
AC Milan
30 Mar 24
Fiorentina
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
AC Milan
25 Nov 23
AC Milan
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fiorentina
04 Mar 23
Fiorentina
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
AC Milan

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest AC Milan

22 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
25 Oct @ Udinese 0-2
W
28 Oct vs Bologna 2-4
L
31 Oct vs Inter 3-1
W
05 Nov vs Ferencvarosi TC 0-2
L
08 Nov @ Genoa 1-2
W

Away Crest Fiorentina

10 Oct @ Genoa 2-1
L
18 Oct vs Como 1-3
L
25 Oct @ Inter 2-1
L
29 Oct vs Atalanta 2-2
D
02 Nov @ Sassuolo 2-4
W
08 Nov vs Juventus 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.