Napoli vs Cagliari
H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
In their previous 29 head-to-head matches, Napoli scored an average of 2.17 goals per match, compared to Cagliari 0.66 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Napoli scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.00, whereas Cagliari scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.
What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Napoli vs Cagliari match?
Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.89 for Napoli and 0.89 for Cagliari. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.50%.
Poisson Distribution Algorithm
We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.
