Italy Serie A
Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma
W D W W L W
VS
xG 2.35 - 1.73
AC Milan
L W L W L W

Mathematical Predictions: AS Roma vs AC Milan

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 77.34% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

AS Roma team crest AS Roma Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AS Roma
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Sassuolo 1 O2.5 3-0
03 Nov 26 @ Manchester United X O2.5 3-2
31 Oct 26 @ Udinese 2 U2.5 2-5
27 Oct 26 vs Cagliari 1 O2.5 4-2
24 Oct 26 @ Napoli 1 O2.5 3-3

AC Milan team crest AC Milan Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AC Milan
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Genoa X U2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 vs Ferencvarosi TC X O2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 vs Inter 2 O2.5 3-1
28 Oct 26 vs Bologna X U2.5 2-4
25 Oct 26 @ Udinese 2 U2.5 0-2

AS Roma vs AC Milan

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Italy Serie A
Stadio Olimpico
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, AS Roma scored an average of 1.37 goals per match, compared to AC Milan 1.37 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, AS Roma scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.83, whereas AC Milan scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in AS Roma vs AC Milan match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.35 for AS Roma and 1.73 for AC Milan. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 77.34%.

H2H - AS Roma vs. AC Milan

09 Jan 27
AS Roma
-
(HT -)
AC Milan
25 Jan 26
AS Roma
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
AC Milan
02 Nov 25
AC Milan
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
AS Roma
18 May 25
AS Roma
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
AC Milan
05 Feb 25
AC Milan
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
AS Roma
29 Dec 24
AC Milan
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
AS Roma
18 Apr 24
AS Roma
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
AC Milan
11 Apr 24
AC Milan
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
AS Roma

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest AS Roma

20 Oct vs Slovan Bratislava 4-0
W
24 Oct @ Napoli 3-3
D
27 Oct vs Cagliari 4-2
W
31 Oct @ Udinese 2-5
W
03 Nov @ Manchester United 3-2
L
07 Nov vs Sassuolo 3-0
W

Away Crest AC Milan

22 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
25 Oct @ Udinese 0-2
W
28 Oct vs Bologna 2-4
L
31 Oct vs Inter 3-1
W
05 Nov vs Ferencvarosi TC 0-2
L
08 Nov @ Genoa 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.