Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

1.94
L L W L W W

SCHEDULED -

1.49

L W L W L L

Kick Off: 17-05-2026 14:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Sparta Rotterdam and Excelsior face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Sunday 17th of May 2026. The two teams have met 8 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.13 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.88 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sparta Rotterdam have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Excelsior scored 1.10 goals and conceded 2.22 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.58%

Head to Head Record - Sparta Rotterdam vs. Excelsior

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	- (HT -)	Excelsior
14-09-2025	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	Excelsior	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
17-02-2024	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	Sparta Rotterdam	4-2 (HT 2-2)	Excelsior
01-10-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	Excelsior	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
05-03-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	Excelsior	1-4 (HT 1-1)	Sparta Rotterdam
14-01-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	Sparta Rotterdam	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
21-01-2018	Netherlands Eredivisie 2017	Sparta Rotterdam	2-3 (HT 2-2)	Excelsior
21-10-2017	Netherlands Eredivisie 2017	Excelsior	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
07-04-2017	Netherlands Eredivisie 2016	Sparta Rotterdam	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Excelsior
19-11-2016	Netherlands Eredivisie 2016	Excelsior	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Sparta Rotterdam

Competition		Date
Netherlands Eredivisie		17-05-2026
Sparta Rotterdam	- (HT -)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		14-09-2025
Excelsior	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie		17-02-2024
Sparta Rotterdam	4-2 (HT 2-2)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		01-10-2023
Excelsior	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie		05-03-2023
Excelsior	1-4 (HT 1-1)	Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie		14-01-2023
Sparta Rotterdam	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		21-01-2018
Sparta Rotterdam	2-3 (HT 2-2)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		21-10-2017
Excelsior	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie		07-04-2017
Sparta Rotterdam	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		19-11-2016
Excelsior	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Sparta Rotterdam

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