What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Excelsior

(xG) 1.11 - 1.72

Telstar

Mathematical Predictions: Excelsior vs Telstar

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 53.85% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Away Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Excelsior Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Excelsior
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs GO Ahead Eagles	X	O2.5	0-1
01 Nov 26	vs Twente	2	O2.5	0-9
28 Oct 26	@ MVV	2	O2.5	0-3
25 Oct 26	@ Fortuna Sittard	X	O2.5	1-0
16 Oct 26	@ Heerenveen	X	O2.5	4-0

Telstar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Telstar
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ Fortuna Sittard	X	O2.5	2-2
01 Nov 26	vs Utrecht	X	O2.5	4-2
27 Oct 26	vs Almere City FC	X	O2.5	0-2
23 Oct 26	@ GO Ahead Eagles	X	O2.5	3-2
17 Oct 26	vs Feyenoord	2	O2.5	3-4

Excelsior vs Telstar

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2026-11-28T17:30:00

Stadion Woudestein

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Excelsior scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Telstar 2.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Excelsior scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 3.33, whereas Telstar scored 1.00 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Excelsior vs Telstar match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.11 for Excelsior and 1.72 for Telstar. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.85%.

H2H - Excelsior vs. Telstar

28 Nov 26

Excelsior

(HT -)

Telstar

17 Jan 26

Excelsior

2 - 2

(HT 0-0)

Telstar

01 Nov 25

Telstar

2 - 2

(HT 2-1)

Excelsior

Team Form (Last 6)

Excelsior

11 Oct vs Groningen 1-5

16 Oct @ Heerenveen 4-0

25 Oct @ Fortuna Sittard 1-0

28 Oct @ MVV 0-3

01 Nov vs Twente 0-9

07 Nov vs GO Ahead Eagles 0-1

Telstar

11 Oct vs ADO Den Haag 2-2

17 Oct vs Feyenoord 3-4

23 Oct @ GO Ahead Eagles 3-2

27 Oct vs Almere City FC 0-2

01 Nov vs Utrecht 4-2

07 Nov @ Fortuna Sittard 2-2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.