AZ Alkmaar
D
W
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.55 - 2.87
PSV Eindhoven
L
W
D
W
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 81.76% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

AZ Alkmaar team crest AZ Alkmaar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AZ Alkmaar
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Groningen X O2.5 4-3
05 Nov 26 vs Juventus 1 U2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Ajax X O2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 vs Twente X O2.5 0-2
22 Oct 26 @ Ararat-Armenia X O2.5 0-4

PSV Eindhoven team crest PSV Eindhoven Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for PSV Eindhoven
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Cambuur 2 O2.5 2-5
04 Nov 26 vs Club Brugge KV X O2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 vs Willem II 1 O2.5 7-0
25 Oct 26 vs Feyenoord X O2.5 1-1
20 Oct 26 @ FC Porto X O2.5 0-1

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
AFAS Stadion
In their previous 31 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar scored an average of 1.32 goals per match, compared to PSV Eindhoven 2.45 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, AZ Alkmaar scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.33, whereas PSV Eindhoven scored 3.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.55 for AZ Alkmaar and 2.87 for PSV Eindhoven. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 81.76%.

H2H - AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven

05 Dec 26
AZ Alkmaar
-
(HT -)
PSV Eindhoven
07 Mar 26
PSV Eindhoven
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
AZ Alkmaar
09 Nov 25
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 5
(HT 1-3)
PSV Eindhoven
11 Jan 25
PSV Eindhoven
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
AZ Alkmaar
19 Oct 24
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
PSV Eindhoven
06 Apr 24
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
AZ Alkmaar
17 Dec 23
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
PSV Eindhoven
28 May 23
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
PSV Eindhoven

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest AZ Alkmaar

18 Oct @ Cambuur 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Ararat-Armenia 0-4
W
25 Oct vs Twente 0-2
L
31 Oct @ Ajax 1-0
L
05 Nov vs Juventus 1-2
L
08 Nov vs Groningen 4-3
W

Away Crest PSV Eindhoven

17 Oct @ ADO Den Haag 2-1
L
20 Oct @ FC Porto 0-1
W
25 Oct vs Feyenoord 1-1
D
31 Oct vs Willem II 7-0
W
04 Nov vs Club Brugge KV 1-2
L
08 Nov @ Cambuur 2-5
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.