What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Fortuna Sittard

(xG) 1.32 - 1.37

PEC Zwolle

Mathematical Predictions: Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 50.47% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Telstar	X	O2.5	2-2
31 Oct 26	@ Feyenoord	1	O2.5	1-1
25 Oct 26	vs Excelsior	X	O2.5	1-0
18 Oct 26	@ NEC Nijmegen	X	O2.5	2-2
10 Oct 26	vs Twente	2	O2.5	1-1

PEC Zwolle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for PEC Zwolle
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
06 Nov 26	@ Willem II	2	O2.5	1-1
01 Nov 26	vs ADO Den Haag	X	O2.5	1-0
28 Oct 26	vs FC OSS	X	O2.5	1-2
24 Oct 26	@ Utrecht	X	O2.5	1-1
18 Oct 26	vs GO Ahead Eagles	2	O2.5	4-1

Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2026-12-05T22:00:00

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.29 goals per match, compared to PEC Zwolle 1.79 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas PEC Zwolle scored 1.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.32 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.37 for PEC Zwolle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.47%.

H2H - Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle

05 Dec 26

Fortuna Sittard

(HT -)

PEC Zwolle

10 May 26

Fortuna Sittard

3 - 2

(HT 1-0)

PEC Zwolle

13 Dec 25

PEC Zwolle

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

26 Jan 25

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 4

(HT 0-2)

PEC Zwolle

09 Nov 24

PEC Zwolle

3 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Fortuna Sittard

16 Mar 24

Fortuna Sittard

3 - 1

(HT 1-0)

PEC Zwolle

05 Nov 23

PEC Zwolle

2 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

06 Mar 22

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 1

(HT 0-0)

PEC Zwolle

Team Form (Last 6)

Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1

18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2

25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0

28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2

31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1

07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2

PEC Zwolle

11 Oct vs Cambuur 0-1

18 Oct vs GO Ahead Eagles 4-1

24 Oct @ Utrecht 1-1

28 Oct vs FC OSS 1-2

01 Nov vs ADO Den Haag 1-0

06 Nov @ Willem II 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.