Sparta Rotterdam
D
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.47 - 1.39
NEC Nijmegen
D
W
D
L
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.45% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Sparta Rotterdam team crest Sparta Rotterdam Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sparta Rotterdam
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ ADO Den Haag X O2.5 3-1
01 Nov 26 @ Groningen X O2.5 2-3
25 Oct 26 vs Ajax 2 O2.5 1-2
17 Oct 26 vs Willem II 1 O2.5 3-2
10 Oct 26 @ GO Ahead Eagles 1 O2.5 3-3

NEC Nijmegen team crest NEC Nijmegen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for NEC Nijmegen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Utrecht X O2.5 2-3
05 Nov 26 vs Omonia Nicosia X U2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 @ Heerenveen 1 O2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 vs Groningen X O2.5 2-2
22 Oct 26 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 O2.5 2-4

Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
In their previous 12 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam scored an average of 1.08 goals per match, compared to NEC Nijmegen 0.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sparta Rotterdam scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.33, whereas NEC Nijmegen scored 1.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.47 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.39 for NEC Nijmegen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.45%.

H2H - Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC Nijmegen

05 Dec 26
Sparta Rotterdam
-
(HT -)
NEC Nijmegen
17 Feb 26
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
NEC Nijmegen
29 Nov 25
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Sparta Rotterdam
06 Apr 25
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
NEC Nijmegen
15 Dec 24
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sparta Rotterdam
24 Feb 24
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Sparta Rotterdam
01 Sep 23
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
NEC Nijmegen
28 Jan 23
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sparta Rotterdam

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sparta Rotterdam

10 Oct @ GO Ahead Eagles 3-3
D
17 Oct vs Willem II 3-2
W
25 Oct vs Ajax 1-2
L
28 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard 2-2
D
01 Nov @ Groningen 2-3
W
07 Nov @ ADO Den Haag 3-1
L

Away Crest NEC Nijmegen

18 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Dinamo Zagreb 2-4
W
25 Oct vs Groningen 2-2
D
31 Oct @ Heerenveen 1-0
L
05 Nov vs Omonia Nicosia 3-1
W
08 Nov @ Utrecht 2-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.