Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht
W W D W L L
VS
xG 1.77 - 1.49
Fortuna Sittard
D D W D D D

Mathematical Predictions: Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.13% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Utrecht team crest Utrecht Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Utrecht
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs NEC Nijmegen X O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Telstar X O2.5 4-2
29 Oct 26 @ Kozakken Boys 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs PEC Zwolle X O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 @ Twente 1 O2.5 1-2

Fortuna Sittard team crest Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Telstar X O2.5 2-2
31 Oct 26 @ Feyenoord 1 O2.5 1-1
25 Oct 26 vs Excelsior X O2.5 1-0
18 Oct 26 @ NEC Nijmegen X O2.5 2-2
10 Oct 26 vs Twente 2 O2.5 1-1

Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Galgenwaard
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.80 goals per match, compared to Fortuna Sittard 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 3.00, whereas Fortuna Sittard scored 2.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.77 for Utrecht and 1.49 for Fortuna Sittard. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.13%.

H2H - Utrecht vs. Fortuna Sittard

12 Dec 26
Utrecht
-
(HT -)
Fortuna Sittard
17 May 26
Utrecht
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fortuna Sittard
20 Sep 25
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Utrecht
18 May 25
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Utrecht
22 Dec 24
Utrecht
2 - 5
(HT 1-0)
Fortuna Sittard
11 Feb 24
Utrecht
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fortuna Sittard
28 Oct 23
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Utrecht
03 Mar 23
Utrecht
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Fortuna Sittard

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Utrecht

11 Oct vs Willem II 3-1
W
18 Oct @ Twente 1-2
W
24 Oct vs PEC Zwolle 1-1
D
29 Oct @ Kozakken Boys 0-1
W
01 Nov @ Telstar 4-2
L
08 Nov vs NEC Nijmegen 2-3
L

Away Crest Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1
D
18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2
D
25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0
W
28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2
D
31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1
D
07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.