What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Telstar

(xG) 2.22 - 1.11

Willem II

Mathematical Predictions: Telstar vs Willem II

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 64.72% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Telstar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Telstar
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ Fortuna Sittard	X	O2.5	2-2
01 Nov 26	vs Utrecht	X	O2.5	4-2
27 Oct 26	vs Almere City FC	X	O2.5	0-2
23 Oct 26	@ GO Ahead Eagles	X	O2.5	3-2
17 Oct 26	vs Feyenoord	2	O2.5	3-4

Willem II Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Willem II
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
06 Nov 26	vs PEC Zwolle	2	O2.5	1-1
31 Oct 26	@ PSV Eindhoven	1	O2.5	7-0
27 Oct 26	@ Helmond Sport	X	O2.5	3-4
24 Oct 26	vs Cambuur	1	O2.5	1-6
17 Oct 26	@ Sparta Rotterdam	1	O2.5	3-2

Telstar vs Willem II

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2026-12-18T21:00:00

BUKO Stadion

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Telstar scored an average of 2.50 goals per match, compared to Willem II 1.50 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Telstar scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 2.83, whereas Willem II scored 1.00 and conceded 3.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Telstar vs Willem II match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.22 for Telstar and 1.11 for Willem II. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.72%.

H2H - Telstar vs. Willem II

18 Dec 26

Telstar

(HT -)

Willem II

01 Jun 25

Willem II

1 - 3

(HT 1-2)

Telstar

29 May 25

Telstar

2 - 2

(HT 0-1)

Willem II

Team Form (Last 6)

Telstar

11 Oct vs ADO Den Haag 2-2

17 Oct vs Feyenoord 3-4

23 Oct @ GO Ahead Eagles 3-2

27 Oct vs Almere City FC 0-2

01 Nov vs Utrecht 4-2

07 Nov @ Fortuna Sittard 2-2

Willem II

11 Oct @ Utrecht 3-1

17 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 3-2

24 Oct vs Cambuur 1-6

27 Oct @ Helmond Sport 3-4

31 Oct @ PSV Eindhoven 7-0

06 Nov vs PEC Zwolle 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.