Excelsior
L
L
L
W
L
L
-
(xG) 0.88 - 1.65
AZ Alkmaar
D
W
L
L
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.67% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Excelsior team crest Excelsior Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Excelsior
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs GO Ahead Eagles X O2.5 0-1
01 Nov 26 vs Twente 2 O2.5 0-9
28 Oct 26 @ MVV 2 O2.5 0-3
25 Oct 26 @ Fortuna Sittard X O2.5 1-0
16 Oct 26 @ Heerenveen X O2.5 4-0

AZ Alkmaar team crest AZ Alkmaar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AZ Alkmaar
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Groningen X O2.5 4-3
05 Nov 26 vs Juventus 1 U2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Ajax X O2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 vs Twente X O2.5 0-2
22 Oct 26 @ Ararat-Armenia X O2.5 0-4

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Woudestein
In their previous 20 head-to-head matches, Excelsior scored an average of 1.30 goals per match, compared to AZ Alkmaar 1.95 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Excelsior scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 3.33, whereas AZ Alkmaar scored 1.83 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.88 for Excelsior and 1.65 for AZ Alkmaar. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.67%.

H2H - Excelsior vs. AZ Alkmaar

19 Dec 26
Excelsior
-
(HT -)
AZ Alkmaar
14 Feb 26
Excelsior
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
AZ Alkmaar
21 Jan 26
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Excelsior
10 Mar 24
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Excelsior
04 Nov 23
Excelsior
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
AZ Alkmaar
10 Feb 23
AZ Alkmaar
5 - 0
(HT 5-0)
Excelsior
23 Oct 22
Excelsior
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
AZ Alkmaar
15 May 19
Excelsior
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
AZ Alkmaar

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Excelsior

11 Oct vs Groningen 1-5
L
16 Oct @ Heerenveen 4-0
L
25 Oct @ Fortuna Sittard 1-0
L
28 Oct @ MVV 0-3
W
01 Nov vs Twente 0-9
L
07 Nov vs GO Ahead Eagles 0-1
L

Away Crest AZ Alkmaar

18 Oct @ Cambuur 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Ararat-Armenia 0-4
W
25 Oct vs Twente 0-2
L
31 Oct @ Ajax 1-0
L
05 Nov vs Juventus 1-2
L
08 Nov vs Groningen 4-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.