What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Fortuna Sittard

(xG) 1.20 - 1.81

Sparta Rotterdam

Mathematical Predictions: Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 57.90% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Away Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Telstar	X	O2.5	2-2
31 Oct 26	@ Feyenoord	1	O2.5	1-1
25 Oct 26	vs Excelsior	X	O2.5	1-0
18 Oct 26	@ NEC Nijmegen	X	O2.5	2-2
10 Oct 26	vs Twente	2	O2.5	1-1

Sparta Rotterdam Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sparta Rotterdam
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ ADO Den Haag	X	O2.5	3-1
01 Nov 26	@ Groningen	X	O2.5	2-3
25 Oct 26	vs Ajax	2	O2.5	1-2
17 Oct 26	vs Willem II	1	O2.5	3-2
10 Oct 26	@ GO Ahead Eagles	1	O2.5	3-3

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2026-12-19T19:45:00

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 0.93 goals per match, compared to Sparta Rotterdam 1.60 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas Sparta Rotterdam scored 2.00 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.20 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.81 for Sparta Rotterdam. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.90%.

H2H - Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam

19 Dec 26

Fortuna Sittard

(HT -)

Sparta Rotterdam

28 Oct 26

Sparta Rotterdam

2 - 2

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

07 Feb 26

Fortuna Sittard

2 - 2

(HT 1-0)

Sparta Rotterdam

22 Nov 25

Sparta Rotterdam

1 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

29 Mar 25

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 3

(HT 0-2)

Sparta Rotterdam

28 Sep 24

Sparta Rotterdam

1 - 1

(HT 1-1)

Fortuna Sittard

30 Mar 24

Sparta Rotterdam

4 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

13 Jan 24

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 2

(HT 0-1)

Sparta Rotterdam

Team Form (Last 6)

Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1

18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2

25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0

28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2

31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1

07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2

Sparta Rotterdam

10 Oct @ GO Ahead Eagles 3-3

17 Oct vs Willem II 3-2

25 Oct vs Ajax 1-2

28 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard 2-2

01 Nov @ Groningen 2-3

07 Nov @ ADO Den Haag 3-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.