Utrecht
W
W
D
W
L
L
-
(xG) 1.76 - 2.14
Heerenveen
L
W
W
W
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 74.74% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Utrecht team crest Utrecht Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Utrecht
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs NEC Nijmegen X O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Telstar X O2.5 4-2
29 Oct 26 @ Kozakken Boys 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs PEC Zwolle X O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 @ Twente 1 O2.5 1-2

Heerenveen team crest Heerenveen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Heerenveen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Feyenoord 2 O2.5 5-3
31 Oct 26 vs NEC Nijmegen 1 O2.5 1-0
28 Oct 26 @ Excelsior Maassluis X O2.5 0-2
24 Oct 26 @ ADO Den Haag 2 O2.5 2-3
16 Oct 26 vs Excelsior X O2.5 4-0

Utrecht vs Heerenveen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Galgenwaard
In their previous 38 head-to-head matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.79 goals per match, compared to Heerenveen 1.42 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 3.00, whereas Heerenveen scored 2.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Utrecht vs Heerenveen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.76 for Utrecht and 2.14 for Heerenveen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 74.74%.

H2H - Utrecht vs. Heerenveen

19 Dec 26
Utrecht
-
(HT -)
Heerenveen
21 May 26
Utrecht
3 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Heerenveen
01 Feb 26
Heerenveen
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Utrecht
28 Sep 25
Utrecht
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Heerenveen
30 Mar 25
Utrecht
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Heerenveen
17 Aug 24
Heerenveen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Utrecht
07 Apr 24
Heerenveen
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Utrecht
20 Aug 23
Utrecht
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Heerenveen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Utrecht

11 Oct vs Willem II 3-1
W
18 Oct @ Twente 1-2
W
24 Oct vs PEC Zwolle 1-1
D
29 Oct @ Kozakken Boys 0-1
W
01 Nov @ Telstar 4-2
L
08 Nov vs NEC Nijmegen 2-3
L

Away Crest Heerenveen

09 Oct @ PSV Eindhoven 2-0
L
16 Oct vs Excelsior 4-0
W
24 Oct @ ADO Den Haag 2-3
W
28 Oct @ Excelsior Maassluis 0-2
W
31 Oct vs NEC Nijmegen 1-0
W
08 Nov vs Feyenoord 5-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.