What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Fortuna Sittard

(xG) 1.20 - 3.10

PSV Eindhoven

Mathematical Predictions: Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 80.28% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Away Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Telstar	X	O2.5	2-2
31 Oct 26	@ Feyenoord	1	O2.5	1-1
25 Oct 26	vs Excelsior	X	O2.5	1-0
18 Oct 26	@ NEC Nijmegen	X	O2.5	2-2
10 Oct 26	vs Twente	2	O2.5	1-1

PSV Eindhoven Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for PSV Eindhoven
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	@ Cambuur	2	O2.5	2-5
04 Nov 26	vs Club Brugge KV	X	O2.5	1-2
31 Oct 26	vs Willem II	1	O2.5	7-0
25 Oct 26	vs Feyenoord	X	O2.5	1-1
20 Oct 26	@ FC Porto	X	O2.5	0-1

Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2027-01-16T22:00:00

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 0.94 goals per match, compared to PSV Eindhoven 3.13 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas PSV Eindhoven scored 3.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.20 for Fortuna Sittard and 3.10 for PSV Eindhoven. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.28%.

H2H - Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV Eindhoven

16 Jan 27

Fortuna Sittard

(HT -)

PSV Eindhoven

08 Aug 26

PSV Eindhoven

2 - 2

(HT 0-1)

Fortuna Sittard

17 Jan 26

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 2

(HT 1-1)

PSV Eindhoven

31 Oct 25

PSV Eindhoven

5 - 2

(HT 3-0)

Fortuna Sittard

03 May 25

PSV Eindhoven

4 - 1

(HT 2-0)

Fortuna Sittard

22 Sep 24

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 3

(HT 1-1)

PSV Eindhoven

12 May 24

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 1

(HT 1-0)

PSV Eindhoven

21 Oct 23

PSV Eindhoven

3 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

Team Form (Last 6)

Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1

18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2

25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0

28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2

31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1

07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2

PSV Eindhoven

17 Oct @ ADO Den Haag 2-1

20 Oct @ FC Porto 0-1

25 Oct vs Feyenoord 1-1

31 Oct vs Willem II 7-0

04 Nov vs Club Brugge KV 1-2

08 Nov @ Cambuur 2-5

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.