What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Telstar

(xG) 1.95 - 1.55

NEC Nijmegen

Mathematical Predictions: Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 67.92% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Telstar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Telstar
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ Fortuna Sittard	X	O2.5	2-2
01 Nov 26	vs Utrecht	X	O2.5	4-2
27 Oct 26	vs Almere City FC	X	O2.5	0-2
23 Oct 26	@ GO Ahead Eagles	X	O2.5	3-2
17 Oct 26	vs Feyenoord	2	O2.5	3-4

NEC Nijmegen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for NEC Nijmegen
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	@ Utrecht	X	O2.5	2-3
05 Nov 26	vs Omonia Nicosia	X	U2.5	3-1
31 Oct 26	@ Heerenveen	1	O2.5	1-0
25 Oct 26	vs Groningen	X	O2.5	2-2
22 Oct 26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	O2.5	2-4

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands Eredivisie

2027-01-16T17:30:00

BUKO Stadion

In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Telstar scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to NEC Nijmegen 1.33 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Telstar scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 2.83, whereas NEC Nijmegen scored 1.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.95 for Telstar and 1.55 for NEC Nijmegen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.92%.

H2H - Telstar vs. NEC Nijmegen

16 Jan 27

Telstar

(HT -)

NEC Nijmegen

08 Aug 26

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

(HT 0-2)

Telstar

02 May 26

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Telstar

13 Dec 25

Telstar

2 - 2

(HT 1-1)

NEC Nijmegen

Team Form (Last 6)

Telstar

11 Oct vs ADO Den Haag 2-2

17 Oct vs Feyenoord 3-4

23 Oct @ GO Ahead Eagles 3-2

27 Oct vs Almere City FC 0-2

01 Nov vs Utrecht 4-2

07 Nov @ Fortuna Sittard 2-2

NEC Nijmegen

18 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard 2-2

22 Oct @ Dinamo Zagreb 2-4

25 Oct vs Groningen 2-2

31 Oct @ Heerenveen 1-0

05 Nov vs Omonia Nicosia 3-1

08 Nov @ Utrecht 2-3

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.