Excelsior
L
L
L
W
L
L
-
(xG) 0.85 - 1.70
Fortuna Sittard
D
D
W
D
D
D

Mathematical Predictions: Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.96% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Excelsior team crest Excelsior Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Excelsior
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs GO Ahead Eagles X O2.5 0-1
01 Nov 26 vs Twente 2 O2.5 0-9
28 Oct 26 @ MVV 2 O2.5 0-3
25 Oct 26 @ Fortuna Sittard X O2.5 1-0
16 Oct 26 @ Heerenveen X O2.5 4-0

Fortuna Sittard team crest Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Telstar X O2.5 2-2
31 Oct 26 @ Feyenoord 1 O2.5 1-1
25 Oct 26 vs Excelsior X O2.5 1-0
18 Oct 26 @ NEC Nijmegen X O2.5 2-2
10 Oct 26 vs Twente 2 O2.5 1-1

Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Woudestein
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Excelsior scored an average of 1.22 goals per match, compared to Fortuna Sittard 1.78 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Excelsior scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 3.33, whereas Fortuna Sittard scored 2.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.85 for Excelsior and 1.70 for Fortuna Sittard. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.96%.

H2H - Excelsior vs. Fortuna Sittard

22 Jan 27
Excelsior
-
(HT -)
Fortuna Sittard
25 Oct 26
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Excelsior
20 Feb 26
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Excelsior
19 Oct 25
Excelsior
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fortuna Sittard
03 Mar 24
Fortuna Sittard
5 - 2
(HT 4-0)
Excelsior
26 Aug 23
Excelsior
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Fortuna Sittard
21 May 23
Excelsior
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fortuna Sittard
17 Sep 22
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Excelsior

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Excelsior

11 Oct vs Groningen 1-5
L
16 Oct @ Heerenveen 4-0
L
25 Oct @ Fortuna Sittard 1-0
L
28 Oct @ MVV 0-3
W
01 Nov vs Twente 0-9
L
07 Nov vs GO Ahead Eagles 0-1
L

Away Crest Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1
D
18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2
D
25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0
W
28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2
D
31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1
D
07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.