Utrecht
W
W
D
W
L
L
-
(xG) 1.79 - 1.27
Excelsior
L
L
L
W
L
L

Mathematical Predictions: Utrecht vs Excelsior

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.96% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Utrecht team crest Utrecht Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Utrecht
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs NEC Nijmegen X O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Telstar X O2.5 4-2
29 Oct 26 @ Kozakken Boys 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs PEC Zwolle X O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 @ Twente 1 O2.5 1-2

Excelsior team crest Excelsior Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Excelsior
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs GO Ahead Eagles X O2.5 0-1
01 Nov 26 vs Twente 2 O2.5 0-9
28 Oct 26 @ MVV 2 O2.5 0-3
25 Oct 26 @ Fortuna Sittard X O2.5 1-0
16 Oct 26 @ Heerenveen X O2.5 4-0

Utrecht vs Excelsior

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Netherlands Eredivisie
Stadion Galgenwaard
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.86 goals per match, compared to Excelsior 1.48 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Utrecht scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 3.00, whereas Excelsior scored 1.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Utrecht vs Excelsior match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.79 for Utrecht and 1.27 for Excelsior. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.96%.

H2H - Utrecht vs. Excelsior

29 Jan 27
Utrecht
-
(HT -)
Excelsior
13 Sep 26
Excelsior
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Utrecht
26 Apr 26
Excelsior
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Utrecht
24 Aug 25
Utrecht
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Excelsior
27 Jan 24
Excelsior
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Utrecht
12 Nov 23
Utrecht
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Excelsior
25 Jan 23
Utrecht
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Excelsior
02 Oct 22
Excelsior
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Utrecht

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Utrecht

11 Oct vs Willem II 3-1
W
18 Oct @ Twente 1-2
W
24 Oct vs PEC Zwolle 1-1
D
29 Oct @ Kozakken Boys 0-1
W
01 Nov @ Telstar 4-2
L
08 Nov vs NEC Nijmegen 2-3
L

Away Crest Excelsior

11 Oct vs Groningen 1-5
L
16 Oct @ Heerenveen 4-0
L
25 Oct @ Fortuna Sittard 1-0
L
28 Oct @ MVV 0-3
W
01 Nov vs Twente 0-9
L
07 Nov vs GO Ahead Eagles 0-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.