Nigeria NPFL
Dan Anyiam Stadium
Heartland
W D L W L W
VS
xG 0.91 - 1.16
Kwara United
W D W D W L

Mathematical Predictions: Heartland vs Kwara United

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 65.77% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Heartland team crest Heartland Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Heartland
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
No historical records found.

Kwara United team crest Kwara United Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Kwara United
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
No historical records found.

Heartland vs Kwara United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Nigeria NPFL
Dan Anyiam Stadium
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Heartland scored an average of 0.57 goals per match, compared to Kwara United 1.14 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Heartland scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 0.50, whereas Kwara United scored 0.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Heartland vs Kwara United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.91 for Heartland and 1.16 for Kwara United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.77%.

H2H - Heartland vs. Kwara United

20 Apr 25
Heartland
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kwara United
27 Nov 24
Kwara United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Heartland
23 Jun 24
Kwara United
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Heartland
25 Jan 24
Heartland
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kwara United
17 Jul 22
Heartland
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kwara United
13 Mar 22
Kwara United
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Heartland
29 Mar 20
Heartland
-
(HT -)
Kwara United
15 Dec 19
Kwara United
0 - 1
(HT -)
Heartland

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Heartland

13 Apr @ Enugu Rangers 0-2
W
20 Apr vs Kwara United 0-0
D
27 Apr @ Nasarawa United 1-0
L
07 May vs Plateau United 2-0
W
11 May @ Bendel Insurance 1-0
L
25 May vs Akwa United 2-1
W

Away Crest Kwara United

05 Apr vs El Kanemi Warriors 3-0
W
12 Apr @ Shooting Stars 0-0
D
19 Apr vs Barau FC 2-1
W
03 May @ Niger Tornadoes 2-2
D
10 May vs Enyimba 2-0
W
24 May @ Bayelsa United 4-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.