Nigeria NPFL
Kwara Sports Complex
Kwara United
W D W D W L
VS
xG 1.37 - 0.93
Akwa United
D L W L W L

Mathematical Predictions: Kwara United vs Akwa United

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 59.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Kwara United team crest Kwara United Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Kwara United
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
No historical records found.

Akwa United team crest Akwa United Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Akwa United
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
No historical records found.

Kwara United vs Akwa United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Nigeria NPFL
Kwara Sports Complex
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Kwara United scored an average of 1.11 goals per match, compared to Akwa United 1.11 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kwara United scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 0.17, whereas Akwa United scored 0.67 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kwara United vs Akwa United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.37 for Kwara United and 0.93 for Akwa United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 59.72%.

H2H - Kwara United vs. Akwa United

23 Mar 25
Kwara United
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Akwa United
03 Nov 24
Akwa United
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kwara United
21 Apr 24
Kwara United
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Akwa United
02 Dec 23
Akwa United
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kwara United
24 Apr 23
Akwa United
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Kwara United
01 Feb 23
Kwara United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Akwa United
28 May 22
Kwara United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Akwa United
02 Feb 22
Akwa United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kwara United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kwara United

05 Apr vs El Kanemi Warriors 3-0
W
12 Apr @ Shooting Stars 0-0
D
19 Apr vs Barau FC 2-1
W
03 May @ Niger Tornadoes 2-2
D
10 May vs Enyimba 2-0
W
24 May @ Bayelsa United 4-0
L

Away Crest Akwa United

13 Apr vs El Kanemi Warriors 1-1
D
20 Apr @ Plateau United 1-0
L
27 Apr vs Ikorodu City 2-1
W
07 May @ Bendel Insurance 1-0
L
11 May vs Bayelsa United 2-0
W
25 May @ Heartland 2-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.