Poland Ekstraklasa
Stadion Poznan
Lech Poznan
W D W W L D
VS
xG 2.83 - 1.33
Pogon Szczecin
W W W W L L

Mathematical Predictions: Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 78.53% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Lech Poznan team crest Lech Poznan Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lech Poznan
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Zaglebie Lubin 1 O2.5 2-2
05 Nov 26 @ Benfica 1 O2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 vs Wisla Krakow 1 O2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ Legia Warszawa X O2.5 1-2
22 Oct 26 vs Sunderland 1 O2.5 1-1

Pogon Szczecin team crest Pogon Szczecin Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Pogon Szczecin
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Widzew Łódź 2 U2.5 3-0
02 Nov 26 @ Raków Częstochowa X O2.5 3-1
24 Oct 26 vs Radomiak Radom 1 O2.5 4-3
17 Oct 26 @ GKS Katowice 1 O2.5 0-1
11 Oct 26 vs Korona Kielce X U2.5 2-0

Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Poland Ekstraklasa
Stadion Poznan
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Lech Poznan scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Pogon Szczecin 1.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lech Poznan scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Pogon Szczecin scored 1.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.83 for Lech Poznan and 1.33 for Pogon Szczecin. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.53%.

H2H - Lech Poznan vs. Pogon Szczecin

29 Nov 26
Lech Poznan
-
(HT -)
Pogon Szczecin
18 Apr 26
Pogon Szczecin
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Lech Poznan
19 Oct 25
Lech Poznan
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Pogon Szczecin
01 Mar 25
Pogon Szczecin
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Lech Poznan
25 Aug 24
Lech Poznan
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Pogon Szczecin
07 Apr 24
Lech Poznan
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Pogon Szczecin
01 Oct 23
Pogon Szczecin
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Lech Poznan

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lech Poznan

18 Oct vs Korona Kielce 6-1
W
22 Oct vs Sunderland 1-1
D
25 Oct @ Legia Warszawa 1-2
W
31 Oct vs Wisla Krakow 3-1
W
05 Nov @ Benfica 3-1
L
08 Nov vs Zaglebie Lubin 2-2
D

Away Crest Pogon Szczecin

20 Sep @ Piast Gliwice 1-2
W
11 Oct vs Korona Kielce 2-0
W
17 Oct @ GKS Katowice 0-1
W
24 Oct vs Radomiak Radom 4-3
W
02 Nov @ Raków Częstochowa 3-1
L
07 Nov @ Widzew Łódź 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.