Arouca
W
W
D
L
W
L
3-1
(xG) 1.41 - 1.87
Tondela
L
W
W
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.64% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

Arouca vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Arouca and Tondela face each other in the match on at Aluca Municipal Stadium . The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.32 and conceded 1.47 goals, while Tondela scored 1.14 and conceded 1.91.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

H2H - Arouca vs. Tondela

Date Competition Match
16-05-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca 3-1 (HT 1-0) Tondela
03-01-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Tondela 3-1 (HT 2-1) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 16-05-2026
Arouca
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga 03-01-2026
Tondela
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arouca