Nacional
W
L
L
W
W
L
2-0
(xG) 1.35 - 1.60
Guimaraes
L
L
L
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.52% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

Nacional vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Nacional and Guimaraes face each other in the match on at Estadio da Madeira . The two teams have met 4 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.43 and conceded 1.46 goals, while Guimaraes scored 1.33 and conceded 1.30.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

H2H - Nacional vs. Guimaraes

Date Competition Match
16-05-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Nacional 2-0 (HT 0-0) Guimaraes
02-01-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Guimaraes 2-1 (HT 0-0) Nacional
03-05-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Nacional 1-2 (HT 0-1) Guimaraes
23-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Guimaraes 2-2 (HT 1-1) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 16-05-2026
Nacional
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 02-01-2026
Guimaraes
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 03-05-2025
Nacional
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 23-12-2024
Guimaraes
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Nacional