Estrela
D
L
L
W
L
L
-
(xG) 0.98 - 2.55
Benfica
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 68.34% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Estrela vs Benfica

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela scored an average of 0.43 goals per match, compared to Benfica 3.14 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Estrela scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.83, whereas Benfica scored 2.67 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.98 for Estrela and 2.55 for Benfica. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.34%.

H2H - Estrela vs. Benfica

04-04-2027
Benfica
-
(HT -)
Estrela
08-11-2026
Estrela
-
(HT -)
Benfica
25-01-2026
Benfica
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Estrela
16-08-2025
Estrela
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Benfica
02-02-2025
Estrela
2 - 3
(HT 1-3)
Benfica
23-11-2024
Benfica
7 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Estrela
24-08-2024
Benfica
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Estrela
29-01-2024
Estrela
1 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Benfica
19-08-2023
Benfica
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Estrela

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Estrela

14.09 @ Rio Ave 3-3
D
20.09 vs Academico Viseu 0-2
L
11.10 @ Arouca 1-0
L
17.10 @ Fazendense 1-2
W
24.10 vs Casa Pia 0-2
L
31.10 @ Moreirense 2-1
L

Away Crest Benfica

15.10 vs Celtic 4-1
W
22.10 @ Omonia Nicosia 1-4
W
26.10 @ Santa Clara 1-2
W
29.10 vs GIL Vicente 4-1
W
02.11 vs Alverca 1-0
W
05.11 vs Lech Poznan 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.