Portugal Primeira Liga
TBA
Nacional
L L L W L W
VS
xG 0.75 - 2.53
Benfica
W W W W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Nacional vs Benfica

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.61% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Nacional team crest Nacional Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Nacional
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Academico Viseu X U2.5 1-0
01 Nov 26 @ Arouca 1 O2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 vs SC Braga 2 U2.5 1-0
17 Oct 26 @ Sanjoanense 2 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 @ Rio Ave X O2.5 3-2

Benfica team crest Benfica Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Benfica
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Estrela 2 O2.5 2-3
05 Nov 26 vs Lech Poznan 1 O2.5 3-1
02 Nov 26 vs Alverca 1 O2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 vs GIL Vicente 1 O2.5 4-1
26 Oct 26 @ Santa Clara 2 O2.5 1-2

Nacional vs Benfica

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Primeira Liga
TBA
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Nacional scored an average of 0.25 goals per match, compared to Benfica 2.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Nacional scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.67, whereas Benfica scored 3.33 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Nacional vs Benfica match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.75 for Nacional and 2.53 for Benfica. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.61%.

H2H - Nacional vs. Benfica

05 Dec 26
Nacional
-
(HT -)
Benfica
12 Apr 26
Benfica
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nacional
29 Nov 25
Nacional
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Benfica
08 Mar 25
Benfica
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nacional
19 Dec 24
Nacional
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Benfica

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Nacional

19 Sep vs Famalicao 0-4
L
11 Oct @ Rio Ave 3-2
L
17 Oct @ Sanjoanense 1-0
L
25 Oct vs SC Braga 1-0
W
01 Nov @ Arouca 1-0
L
08 Nov vs Academico Viseu 1-0
W

Away Crest Benfica

22 Oct @ Omonia Nicosia 1-4
W
26 Oct @ Santa Clara 1-2
W
29 Oct vs GIL Vicente 4-1
W
02 Nov vs Alverca 1-0
W
05 Nov vs Lech Poznan 3-1
W
08 Nov @ Estrela 2-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.