Portugal Primeira Liga
FC Alverca Sports Complex
Alverca
W W D L L D
VS
xG 1.33 - 1.33
Moreirense
D L L W W L

Mathematical Predictions: Alverca vs Moreirense

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.18% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Alverca team crest Alverca Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Alverca
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Casa Pia X U2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 @ Benfica 1 O2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Arouca X U2.5 0-1
12 Oct 26 @ Famalicao X U2.5 1-4
19 Sep 26 vs Rio Ave 1 U2.5 1-0

Moreirense team crest Moreirense Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Moreirense
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Sporting CP 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs Estrela X O2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 @ Estoril X U2.5 1-3
17 Oct 26 @ AVS X O2.5 1-0
09 Oct 26 vs GIL Vicente X U2.5 0-1

Alverca vs Moreirense

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Primeira Liga
FC Alverca Sports Complex
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Moreirense 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Alverca scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Moreirense scored 1.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Alverca vs Moreirense match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.33 for Alverca and 1.33 for Moreirense. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.18%.

H2H - Alverca vs. Moreirense

07 Dec 26
Alverca
-
(HT -)
Moreirense
17 Jan 26
Alverca
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Moreirense
10 Aug 25
Moreirense
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Alverca

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Alverca

19 Sep vs Rio Ave 1-0
W
12 Oct @ Famalicao 1-4
W
18 Oct @ Tondela 0-0
D
24 Oct vs Arouca 0-1
L
02 Nov @ Benfica 1-0
L
07 Nov vs Casa Pia 1-1
D

Away Crest Moreirense

20 Sep @ Guimaraes 1-1
D
09 Oct vs GIL Vicente 0-1
L
17 Oct @ AVS 1-0
L
25 Oct @ Estoril 1-3
W
31 Oct vs Estrela 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Sporting CP 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.