FC Porto
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.64 - 0.67
Nacional
L
L
L
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 59.46% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

FC Porto vs Nacional

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, FC Porto scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Nacional 0.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Porto scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 0.83, whereas Nacional scored 0.67 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.64 for FC Porto and 0.67 for Nacional. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 59.46%.

H2H - FC Porto vs. Nacional

09-05-2027
Nacional
-
(HT -)
FC Porto
27-12-2026
FC Porto
-
(HT -)
Nacional
15-02-2026
Nacional
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Porto
13-09-2025
FC Porto
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nacional
17-05-2025
FC Porto
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nacional
12-01-2025
Nacional
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Porto

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Porto

14.10 @ Real Betis 3-2
L
20.10 vs PSV Eindhoven 0-1
L
24.10 @ GIL Vicente 0-1
W
28.10 vs Academico Viseu 1-0
W
31.10 vs Estoril 4-0
W
04.11 vs Napoli 4-1
W

Away Crest Nacional

12.09 vs Alverca 1-3
L
19.09 vs Famalicao 0-4
L
11.10 @ Rio Ave 3-2
L
17.10 @ Sanjoanense 1-0
L
25.10 vs SC Braga 1-0
W
01.11 @ Arouca 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.