Casa Pia
L
W
L
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.05 - 2.05
Alverca
W
W
W
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.08% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Casa Pia vs Alverca

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to Alverca 2.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Casa Pia scored an average of 0.50 and conceded 2.50, whereas Alverca scored 1.33 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.05 for Casa Pia and 2.05 for Alverca. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.08%.

H2H - Casa Pia vs. Alverca

04-04-2027
Casa Pia
-
(HT -)
Alverca
07-11-2026
Alverca
-
(HT -)
Casa Pia
12-04-2026
Alverca
3 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Casa Pia
29-11-2025
Casa Pia
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Alverca
02-08-2025
Alverca
2 - 3
(HT -)
Casa Pia

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Casa Pia

12.09 vs FC Porto 1-4
L
20.09 @ Estoril 1-2
W
10.10 vs Santa Clara 0-1
L
18.10 @ Alpendorada 0-1
W
24.10 @ Estrela 0-2
W
30.10 vs Sporting CP 0-2
L

Away Crest Alverca

12.09 @ Nacional 1-3
W
19.09 vs Rio Ave 1-0
W
12.10 @ Famalicao 1-4
W
18.10 @ Tondela 0-0
D
24.10 vs Arouca 0-1
L
02.11 @ Benfica 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.