Portugal Super Cup
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro
Sporting CP
L L W W W W
VS
xG 0.41 - 0.59
FC Porto
L W W W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Sporting CP vs FC Porto

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 91.97% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Sporting CP team crest Sporting CP Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sporting CP
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Moreirense 1 O2.5 1-0
03 Nov 26 @ Shakhtar Donetsk X O2.5 0-1
30 Oct 26 @ Casa Pia 2 O2.5 0-2
27 Oct 26 vs Maritimo 1 O2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 vs Academico Viseu X O2.5 1-2

FC Porto team crest FC Porto Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for FC Porto
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Vitória SC X U2.5 1-2
04 Nov 26 vs Napoli 1 O2.5 4-1
31 Oct 26 vs Estoril 1 U2.5 4-0
28 Oct 26 vs Academico Viseu 1 O2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 @ GIL Vicente 2 U2.5 0-1

Sporting CP vs FC Porto

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Super Cup
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting CP scored an average of 1.22 goals per match, compared to FC Porto 0.78 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sporting CP scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas FC Porto scored 0.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sporting CP vs FC Porto match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.41 for Sporting CP and 0.59 for FC Porto. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 91.97%.

H2H - Sporting CP vs. FC Porto

11 Apr 27
Sporting CP
-
(HT -)
FC Porto
22 Apr 26
FC Porto
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sporting CP
03 Mar 26
Sporting CP
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Porto
09 Feb 26
FC Porto
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sporting CP
30 Aug 25
Sporting CP
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Porto
07 Feb 25
FC Porto
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sporting CP
31 Aug 24
Sporting CP
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Porto
03 Aug 24
Sporting CP
-
(HT -)
FC Porto

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sporting CP

21 Oct vs Lask Linz 2-3
L
25 Oct vs Academico Viseu 1-2
L
27 Oct vs Maritimo 2-1
W
30 Oct @ Casa Pia 0-2
W
03 Nov @ Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1
W
07 Nov vs Moreirense 1-0
W

Away Crest FC Porto

20 Oct vs PSV Eindhoven 0-1
L
24 Oct @ GIL Vicente 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Academico Viseu 1-0
W
31 Oct vs Estoril 4-0
W
04 Nov vs Napoli 4-1
W
08 Nov @ Guimaraes 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.