Portugal Taça de Portugal
TBA
Alpendorada
W W L D W L
VS
xG 3.22 - 1.00
Estrela
L L W L L L

Mathematical Predictions: Alpendorada vs Estrela

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 79.27% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Alpendorada team crest Alpendorada Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Alpendorada
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
18 Oct 26 vs Casa Pia X O2.5 0-1
20 Sep 26 vs Mação 1 O2.5 3-0

Estrela team crest Estrela Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Estrela
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Benfica 2 O2.5 2-3
31 Oct 26 @ Moreirense X O2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 vs Casa Pia 1 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 @ Fazendense X O2.5 1-2
11 Oct 26 @ Arouca 1 O2.5 1-0

Alpendorada vs Estrela

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Taça de Portugal
TBA
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada scored an average of 5.00 goals per match, compared to Estrela 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Alpendorada scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.17, whereas Estrela scored 1.00 and conceded 3.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Alpendorada vs Estrela match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 3.22 for Alpendorada and 1.00 for Estrela. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 79.27%.

H2H - Alpendorada vs. Estrela

18 Oct 25
Alpendorada
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Estrela
21 Sep 25
Alpendorada
-
(HT -)
Estrela
21 Sep 25
Alpendorada
7 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Estrela

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Alpendorada

21 Sep vs Estrela 7-1
W
18 Oct vs Estrela 3-1
W
22 Nov vs Casa Pia 0-3
L
30 Aug @ Rebordosa 1-1
D
20 Sep vs Mação 3-0
W
18 Oct vs Casa Pia 0-1
L

Away Crest Estrela

20 Sep vs Academico Viseu 0-2
L
11 Oct @ Arouca 1-0
L
17 Oct @ Fazendense 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Casa Pia 0-2
L
31 Oct @ Moreirense 2-1
L
08 Nov vs Benfica 2-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.