SC Covilha
W
W
L
D
L
D
0-0
(xG) 2.12 - 1.52
Mortágua
L
W
D
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 70.31% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

SC Covilha vs Mortágua

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, SC Covilha scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Mortágua 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, SC Covilha scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.83, whereas Mortágua scored 1.20 and conceded 2.40.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.12 for SC Covilha and 1.52 for Mortágua. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.31%.

H2H - SC Covilha vs. Mortágua

30-08-2026
SC Covilha
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Mortágua

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest SC Covilha

22.09 vs Pombal 4-0
W
20.10 vs Moncarapachense 3-2
W
24.11 vs Rebordosa 2-3
L
20.09 @ Ovarense 2-2
D
22.11 vs Lusitano Évora 1911 0-2
L
30.08 vs Mortágua 0-0
D

Away Crest Mortágua

22.09 @ Atlético CP 3-0
L
31.08 @ Carregal 1-2
W
21.09 vs Os Marialvas 0-0
D
22.11 @ Guimaraes 4-0
L
30.08 @ SC Covilha 0-0
D
20.09 vs Leça 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.