União Santarém
W
L
L
D
W
D
2-2
(xG) 2.00 - 0.58
GIL Vicente
W
D
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.26% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

União Santarém vs GIL Vicente

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Campo Cha das Padeiras
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, União Santarém scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to GIL Vicente 2.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, União Santarém scored an average of 2.67 and conceded 0.50, whereas GIL Vicente scored 0.67 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in União Santarém vs GIL Vicente match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.00 for União Santarém and 0.58 for GIL Vicente. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.26%.

H2H - União Santarém vs. GIL Vicente

14-10-2026
União Santarém
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
GIL Vicente

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest União Santarém

22.09 vs Monção 2-1
W
19.10 vs Moreirense 1-2
L
21.09 @ Amarante 2-0
L
31.07 vs Academica 0-0
D
20.09 vs Merelinense 5-0
W
14.10 vs GIL Vicente 2-2
D

Away Crest GIL Vicente

09.10 @ Moreirense 0-1
W
14.10 @ União Santarém 2-2
D
19.10 @ SC Braga 1-2
W
24.10 vs FC Porto 0-1
L
29.10 @ Benfica 4-1
L
02.11 vs Guimaraes 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.