Tondela
L
L
D
L
W
D
0-0
(xG) 1.06 - 1.11
Alverca
W
W
W
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 63.17% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Tondela vs Alverca

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Taça de Portugal
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Tondela scored an average of 0.33 goals per match, compared to Alverca 0.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Tondela scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.83, whereas Alverca scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Tondela vs Alverca match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.06 for Tondela and 1.11 for Alverca. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.17%.

H2H - Tondela vs. Alverca

18-10-2026
Tondela
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Alverca
13-02-2026
Tondela
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Alverca
12-09-2025
Alverca
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Tondela

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Tondela

25.07 @ Famalicao 1-0
L
25.07 vs Beira-Mar 1-2
L
29.07 vs São João Ver 1-1
D
01.08 @ Rio Ave 3-1
L
19.09 @ Imortal Albufeira 1-5
W
18.10 vs Alverca 0-0
D

Away Crest Alverca

12.09 @ Nacional 1-3
W
19.09 vs Rio Ave 1-0
W
12.10 @ Famalicao 1-4
W
18.10 @ Tondela 0-0
D
24.10 vs Arouca 0-1
L
02.11 @ Benfica 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.