Estrela
L
L
W
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.28 - 1.28
Portimonense
L
W
D
L
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.91% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Estrela vs Portimonense

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Portugal Taça de Portugal
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Estrela scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Portimonense 0.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Estrela scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 2.00, whereas Portimonense scored 1.17 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Estrela vs Portimonense match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Estrela and 1.28 for Portimonense. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.91%.

H2H - Estrela vs. Portimonense

22-11-2026
Estrela
-
(HT -)
Portimonense
29-07-2026
Estrela
1 - 1
(HT -)
Portimonense
09-02-2024
Estrela
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Portimonense
02-09-2023
Portimonense
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Estrela

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Estrela

20.09 vs Academico Viseu 0-2
L
11.10 @ Arouca 1-0
L
17.10 @ Fazendense 1-2
W
24.10 vs Casa Pia 0-2
L
31.10 @ Moreirense 2-1
L
08.11 vs Benfica 2-3
L

Away Crest Portimonense

15.07 vs Rio Ave 0-3
L
28.07 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-0
W
29.07 @ Estrela 1-1
D
31.07 vs Nottingham Forest 1-2
L
19.09 @ Castro Daire 0-1
W
17.10 @ Florgrade 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.