Arsenal Tula
D
L
W
L
W
L
4-3
(xG) 1.29 - 1.04
KAMAZ
D
W
D
W
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 58.63% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadion Arsenal
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 1.22 goals per match, compared to KAMAZ 0.89 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.33, whereas KAMAZ scored 1.17 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.29 for Arsenal Tula and 1.04 for KAMAZ. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.63%.

H2H - Arsenal Tula vs. KAMAZ

13-03-2027
KAMAZ
-
(HT -)
Arsenal Tula
24-10-2026
Arsenal Tula
4 - 3
(HT 1-0)
KAMAZ
27-02-2026
KAMAZ
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal Tula
19-07-2025
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
KAMAZ
01-03-2025
KAMAZ
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal Tula
20-07-2024
Arsenal Tula
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
KAMAZ
25-11-2023
Arsenal Tula
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KAMAZ
21-08-2023
KAMAZ
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
27-05-2023
Arsenal Tula
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
KAMAZ
06-11-2022
KAMAZ
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal Tula

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal Tula

13.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 2-2
D
16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L

Away Crest KAMAZ

14.09 vs Chelyabinsk 1-1
D
18.09 @ Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-1
W
10.10 @ Ska-khabarovsk 3-3
D
17.10 vs FK Neftekhimik 2-1
W
24.10 @ Arsenal Tula 4-3
L
01.11 vs Torpedo Moskva 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.