Arsenal Tula
D
L
W
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.45 - 1.28
Chelyabinsk
D
W
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.23% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadion Arsenal
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to Chelyabinsk 0.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.67, whereas Chelyabinsk scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.45 for Arsenal Tula and 1.28 for Chelyabinsk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.23%.

H2H - Arsenal Tula vs. Chelyabinsk

14-04-2027
Chelyabinsk
-
(HT -)
Arsenal Tula
07-11-2026
Arsenal Tula
-
(HT -)
Chelyabinsk
22-04-2026
Arsenal Tula
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelyabinsk
19-10-2025
Chelyabinsk
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal Tula
15-02-2025
Arsenal Tula
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelyabinsk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal Tula

13.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 2-2
D
16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L

Away Crest Chelyabinsk

26.09 vs Enisey 1-1
D
09.10 @ FK Neftekhimik 2-4
W
13.10 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-0
L
18.10 @ Tekstilshchik 2-1
L
25.10 vs Ural 1-3
L
01.11 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.