Ural
W
W
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 1.92 - 0.59
Arsenal Tula
D
L
W
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.10% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Ural vs Arsenal Tula

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Yekaterinburg Arena
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Ural scored an average of 1.27 goals per match, compared to Arsenal Tula 0.93 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ural scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 0.67, whereas Arsenal Tula scored 0.17 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.92 for Ural and 0.59 for Arsenal Tula. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.10%.

H2H - Ural vs. Arsenal Tula

25-11-2026
Ural
-
(HT -)
Arsenal Tula
29-08-2026
Arsenal Tula
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Ural
15-03-2026
Ural
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula
24-10-2025
Arsenal Tula
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Ural
24-03-2025
Ural
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
16-09-2024
Arsenal Tula
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ural
21-05-2022
Arsenal Tula
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Ural
27-09-2021
Ural
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal Tula
04-04-2021
Ural
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula
18-10-2020
Arsenal Tula
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ural
15-07-2020
Ural
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal Tula
22-09-2019
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Ural
13-04-2019
Arsenal Tula
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ural
29-09-2018
Ural
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal Tula
08-12-2017
Ural
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula
14-08-2017
Arsenal Tula
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Ural

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ural

18.09 @ FK Neftekhimik 0-1
W
26.09 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-2
W
10.10 vs Veles 1-2
L
18.10 vs Nizhny Novgorod 1-2
L
25.10 @ Chelyabinsk 1-3
W
01.11 @ FC Sochi 0-2
W

Away Crest Arsenal Tula

13.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 2-2
D
16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.