Arsenal Tula
L
W
L
W
L
L
-
(xG) 1.57 - 2.14
FC Sochi
W
D
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 71.64% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia First League
Stadion Arsenal
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 1.20 goals per match, compared to FC Sochi 2.60 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 2.00, whereas FC Sochi scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.57 for Arsenal Tula and 2.14 for FC Sochi. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 71.64%.

H2H - Arsenal Tula vs. FC Sochi

28-11-2026
Arsenal Tula
-
(HT -)
FC Sochi
26-07-2026
FC Sochi
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arsenal Tula
26-06-2026
FC Sochi
3 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula
03-05-2025
FC Sochi
5 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
13-10-2024
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
FC Sochi
26-02-2022
PFC Sochi
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
31-10-2021
Arsenal Tula
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
PFC Sochi
27-02-2021
PFC Sochi
4 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
20-09-2020
Arsenal Tula
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
PFC Sochi
01-03-2020
PFC Sochi
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal Tula
20-10-2019
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
PFC Sochi

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal Tula

16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L
07.11 vs Chelyabinsk 1-2
L

Away Crest FC Sochi

14.09 @ Veles 1-2
W
18.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 1-1
D
11.10 vs FC UFA 1-0
W
16.10 @ Rotor Volgograd 0-1
W
24.10 @ Tekstilshchik 1-3
W
01.11 vs Ural 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.