Nizhny Novgorod
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.17 - 1.06
Chelyabinsk
D
W
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 62.47% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Nizhny Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia First League
Sovcombank Arena
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Chelyabinsk 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Nizhny Novgorod scored an average of 4.17 and conceded 0.67, whereas Chelyabinsk scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Nizhny Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.17 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.06 for Chelyabinsk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 62.47%.

H2H - Nizhny Novgorod vs. Chelyabinsk

06-03-2027
Nizhny Novgorod
-
(HT -)
Chelyabinsk
25-07-2026
Chelyabinsk
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Nizhny Novgorod
17-01-2026
Nizhny Novgorod
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelyabinsk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Nizhny Novgorod

17.09 vs Leningradets 6-0
W
10.10 vs Enisey 5-0
W
14.10 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl 4-0
W
18.10 @ Ural 1-2
W
24.10 @ FC UFA 0-1
W
30.10 vs Arsenal Tula 4-0
W

Away Crest Chelyabinsk

26.09 vs Enisey 1-1
D
09.10 @ FK Neftekhimik 2-4
W
13.10 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-0
L
18.10 @ Tekstilshchik 2-1
L
25.10 vs Ural 1-3
L
01.11 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.