Arsenal Tula
D
L
W
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.52 - 1.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
D
W
L
D
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia First League
Stadion Arsenal
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 0.89 goals per match, compared to Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.67, whereas Shinnik Yaroslavl scored 1.00 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.52 for Arsenal Tula and 1.33 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.26%.

H2H - Arsenal Tula vs. Shinnik Yaroslavl

08-05-2027
Arsenal Tula
-
(HT -)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
08-08-2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal Tula
18-04-2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
25-07-2025
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
20-04-2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula
26-10-2024
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
25-05-2024
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal Tula
17-09-2023
Arsenal Tula
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
21-05-2023
Arsenal Tula
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
28-10-2022
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal Tula

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal Tula

13.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 2-2
D
16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L

Away Crest Shinnik Yaroslavl

27.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 0-0
D
10.10 vs Tekstilshchik 2-0
W
14.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L
18.10 @ Veles 1-1
D
26.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 2-1
W
01.11 @ Chelyabinsk 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.