Ural
W
W
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 1.57 - 0.89
FK Neftekhimik
L
L
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 55.53% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Ural vs FK Neftekhimik

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia First League
Yekaterinburg Arena
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Ural scored an average of 1.20 goals per match, compared to FK Neftekhimik 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ural scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 0.67, whereas FK Neftekhimik scored 1.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ural vs FK Neftekhimik match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.57 for Ural and 0.89 for FK Neftekhimik. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.53%.

H2H - Ural vs. FK Neftekhimik

15-05-2027
Ural
-
(HT -)
FK Neftekhimik
18-09-2026
FK Neftekhimik
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ural
15-11-2025
FK Neftekhimik
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ural
08-09-2025
Ural
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FK Neftekhimik
11-04-2025
Ural
3 - 2
(HT 0-2)
FK Neftekhimik
24-08-2024
FK Neftekhimik
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ural

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ural

18.09 @ FK Neftekhimik 0-1
W
26.09 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-2
W
10.10 vs Veles 1-2
L
18.10 vs Nizhny Novgorod 1-2
L
25.10 @ Chelyabinsk 1-3
W
01.11 @ FC Sochi 0-2
W

Away Crest FK Neftekhimik

14.09 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-0
L
18.09 vs Ural 0-1
L
09.10 vs Chelyabinsk 2-4
L
17.10 @ KAMAZ 2-1
L
25.10 vs Leningradets 1-1
D
31.10 vs Ska-khabarovsk 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.