Arsenal Tula
D
L
W
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.58 - 1.84
Nizhny Novgorod
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 66.45% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arsenal Tula vs Nizhny Novgorod

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadion Arsenal
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 1.40 goals per match, compared to Nizhny Novgorod 2.20 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal Tula scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.67, whereas Nizhny Novgorod scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Arsenal Tula and 1.84 for Nizhny Novgorod. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.45%.

H2H - Arsenal Tula vs. Nizhny Novgorod

29-05-2027
Arsenal Tula
-
(HT -)
Nizhny Novgorod
30-10-2026
Nizhny Novgorod
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal Tula
01-06-2024
Arsenal Tula
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Nizhny Novgorod
29-05-2024
Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Arsenal Tula
02-05-2022
Arsenal Tula
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Nizhny Novgorod
19-09-2021
Nizhny Novgorod
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Arsenal Tula

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal Tula

13.09 vs Ska-khabarovsk 2-2
D
16.09 @ Enisey 3-1
L
09.10 vs Spartak Kostroma 3-2
W
17.10 @ FC UFA 2-0
L
24.10 vs KAMAZ 4-3
W
30.10 @ Nizhny Novgorod 4-0
L

Away Crest Nizhny Novgorod

17.09 vs Leningradets 6-0
W
10.10 vs Enisey 5-0
W
14.10 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl 4-0
W
18.10 @ Ural 1-2
W
24.10 @ FC UFA 0-1
W
30.10 vs Arsenal Tula 4-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.