Ural
W
W
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 1.78 - 0.92
Chelyabinsk
D
W
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.64% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Ural vs Chelyabinsk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia First League
Yekaterinburg Arena
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Ural scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Chelyabinsk 0.60 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ural scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 0.67, whereas Chelyabinsk scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ural vs Chelyabinsk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.78 for Ural and 0.92 for Chelyabinsk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.64%.

H2H - Ural vs. Chelyabinsk

29-05-2027
Ural
-
(HT -)
Chelyabinsk
25-10-2026
Chelyabinsk
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Ural
04-07-2026
Ural
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelyabinsk
20-06-2026
Ural
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Chelyabinsk
26-04-2026
Chelyabinsk
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Ural
05-11-2025
Ural
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelyabinsk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ural

18.09 @ FK Neftekhimik 0-1
W
26.09 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-2
W
10.10 vs Veles 1-2
L
18.10 vs Nizhny Novgorod 1-2
L
25.10 @ Chelyabinsk 1-3
W
01.11 @ FC Sochi 0-2
W

Away Crest Chelyabinsk

26.09 vs Enisey 1-1
D
09.10 @ FK Neftekhimik 2-4
W
13.10 @ Spartak Kostroma 1-0
L
18.10 @ Tekstilshchik 2-1
L
25.10 vs Ural 1-3
L
01.11 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.