Russia Premier League
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg
W D W W D L
VS
xG 1.06 - 1.78
Krasnodar
L D D W L W

Mathematical Predictions: Orenburg vs Krasnodar

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.06% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Orenburg team crest Orenburg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Orenburg
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Krylia Sovetov X U2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 vs CSKA Moscow 2 O2.5 0-0
28 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 1 O2.5 2-1
23 Oct 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 2-2

Krasnodar team crest Krasnodar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Krasnodar
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs CSKA Moscow X U2.5 4-2
31 Oct 26 @ Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 2-1
27 Oct 26 vs Dynamo X U2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 vs Baltika X U2.5 1-1
17 Oct 26 @ Lokomotiv X U2.5 3-3

Orenburg vs Krasnodar

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Stadion Gazovik
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Orenburg scored an average of 0.86 goals per match, compared to Krasnodar 2.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Orenburg scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Krasnodar scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Orenburg vs Krasnodar match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.06 for Orenburg and 1.78 for Krasnodar. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.06%.

H2H - Orenburg vs. Krasnodar

17 Sep 26
FC Orenburg
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Krasnodar
17 May 26
FC Krasnodar
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Orenburg
26 Nov 25
FC Krasnodar
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Orenburg
05 Nov 25
FC Orenburg
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
FC Krasnodar
10 Aug 25
FC Orenburg
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Krasnodar
17 May 25
FC Orenburg
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
FC Krasnodar
03 Nov 24
FC Krasnodar
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Orenburg
03 Dec 23
Krasnodar
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Orenburg

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Orenburg

15 Oct @ Rubin 1-4
W
19 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-2
D
23 Oct @ Akhmat 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 2-1
W
01 Nov vs CSKA Moscow 0-0
D
08 Nov @ Krylia Sovetov 2-0
L

Away Crest Krasnodar

13 Oct vs Fakel 0-2
L
17 Oct @ Lokomotiv 3-3
D
24 Oct vs Baltika 1-1
D
27 Oct vs Dynamo 2-1
W
31 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-1
L
07 Nov vs CSKA Moscow 4-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.